Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.070181 0.078901 0.087845 0.097676 0.108148 0.118942 0.130882
2025-05-18 0.056593 0.069663 0.083766 0.099978 0.117968 0.137196 0.159181
2025-05-25 0.047532 0.063146 0.080708 0.101607 0.125504 0.151706 0.182344
2025-06-01 0.038596 0.055324 0.074907 0.098970 0.127226 0.158893 0.196623
2025-06-08 0.031729 0.049016 0.070044 0.096650 0.128635 0.165162 0.209370
2025-06-15 0.028220 0.046414 0.069249 0.098811 0.134993 0.176894 0.228188
2025-06-22 0.024795 0.043496 0.067716 0.099779 0.139692 0.186517 0.244441
2025-06-29 0.023242 0.042908 0.069007 0.104141 0.148427 0.200872 0.266234
2025-07-06 0.020484 0.040318 0.067437 0.104685 0.152322 0.209349 0.281028
2025-07-13 0.020624 0.041927 0.071490 0.112490 0.165291 0.228821 0.308991
2025-07-20 0.017388 0.038133 0.067920 0.110137 0.165344 0.232507 0.317989
2025-07-27 0.016331 0.037604 0.068810 0.113627 0.172773 0.245200 0.337843
2025-08-03 0.013854 0.034672 0.066322 0.112763 0.174951 0.251891 0.351074
2025-08-10 0.012462 0.033427 0.066233 0.115186 0.181476 0.264128 0.371297
2025-08-17 0.011066 0.031985 0.065727 0.116949 0.187091 0.275221 0.390148
2025-08-24 0.008842 0.028656 0.062079 0.114073 0.186392 0.278223 0.398911
2025-08-31 0.007017 0.025738 0.058818 0.111542 0.185992 0.281485 0.407906
2025-09-07 0.006287 0.024972 0.058952 0.113900 0.192179 0.293170 0.427432
2025-09-14 0.005428 0.023761 0.058250 0.114955 0.196548 0.302500 0.444015
2025-09-21 0.005208 0.024010 0.060012 0.119706 0.206033 0.318493 0.469048
2025-09-28 0.004428 0.022738 0.059062 0.120298 0.209719 0.326939 0.484561
2025-10-05 0.004751 0.024360 0.063243 0.128782 0.224474 0.349904 0.518557
2025-10-12 0.003678 0.022046 0.060303 0.126227 0.223712 0.352527 0.526715